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أثر سعر الصرف علي التوازن الخارجي للاقتصاد المصري الفترة من 1977 - 2017

العنوان بلغة أخرى: The Impact of the Exchange Rate on the External Balance of the Egyptian Economy from 1977 to 2017
المصدر: المجلة العلمية للاقتصاد والتجارة
الناشر: جامعة عين شمس - كلية التجارة
المؤلف الرئيسي: السيد، سارة أبو السعود عبده (مؤلف)
مؤلفين آخرين: سليمان، عبير فرحات علي (مشرف)
المجلد/العدد: ع1
محكمة: نعم
الدولة: مصر
التاريخ الميلادي: 2020
الشهر: أبريل
الصفحات: 13 - 38
ISSN: 2636-2562
رقم MD: 1066111
نوع المحتوى: بحوث ومقالات
اللغة: العربية
قواعد المعلومات: EcoLink
مواضيع:
السياسات الإقتصادية | السياسة المالية | أسعار الصرف | الاقتصاد المصري
كلمات المؤلف المفتاحية:
التوازن الاقتصادي الخارجي | ميزان المدفوعات | سعر الصرف | الحساب الجاري | تحرير سعر الصرف | منهج الاستيعاب لميزان المدفوعات | منهج المرونة لميزان المدفوعات | الاقتصاد المصري | الاحتياطات الدولية | نظم أسعار الصرف | Exchange Rate | External Economic Balance | Balance of Payments | Current Account | Exchange Rate Liberalization | Balance of Payments Absorption Approach | Balance of Payments | Elasticity Approach | Egyptian Economy | International Reserves | Exchange Rate Systems
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المستخلص: The rise of excessive external imbalances has been at the heart of academic research as well as policymaking decisions in Egypt especially after Egyptian Revolution in 2011, in order to determine the main tools that may help in decreasing external deficit. So, This research Target to determine the impact of exchange rate on external economic equilibrium (especially current account of balance of payment) which will affect overall balance of payment and international reserves in the Egyptian economy. First by listing the theories of external economic balance, and then analyze the evolution of both the exchange rate and the current account balance of payments in Egypt from 1977 to 2017, and analysis the relationship between them throughout the time period. The research found that the Egyptian economy exchange rate (devaluation of the local currency) has led to improve of current account balance in most years except the period after the revolution- as a result of the political turmoil that we have seen which led to the disruption of economic conditions-will lead to improvement of overall balance of payment and increasing in international reserves. In the beginning of November 2016 and start Egypt second economic reform program with the IMF, which included several stipulations including deregulation of exchange rate, we find that this has led to a decrease in the current account balance deficit by about 61% in 2017 from what it was in 2016 and led to an increase in international reserves and improved the reserve index in terms of imports months from 3.6 in 2016 to 5.7 in 2017, which is consistent with the theory in most years of the study
ISSN: 2636-2562

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