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الأزمة الأميركية الإيرانية في العام 2007م : الاتجاهات والخيارات

المصدر: مجلة دراسات شرق أوسطية
الناشر: مركز دراسات الشرق الاوسط
المؤلف الرئيسي: باكير، علي حسين (مؤلف)
المؤلف الرئيسي (الإنجليزية): Bakir, Ali Hussein
المجلد/العدد: مج 12, ع 40,41
محكمة: نعم
الدولة: الأردن
التاريخ الميلادي: 2007
الصفحات: 181 - 196
ISSN: 1811-8208
رقم MD: 202200
نوع المحتوى: بحوث ومقالات
اللغة: العربية
قواعد المعلومات: EcoLink, HumanIndex
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المستخلص: This scientific study discusses potential American attitudes in dealing with the Iranian nuclear file which has became the main issue to dominate the meetings of Great Powers, and especially the regional security of the Middle East, considered a most effective strategic area in the world, American occupation in Iraq, and the failure of the peace process. The nuclear file represents strategic dimensions for the Iranians in the region, and the way the international community has become connected with American-Iranian relations. The siege mentality developed by Iran explains its political-military behavior in the Arabian Gulf, considering itself surrounded by regional threats; and for this purpose they have to possess nuclear weapon. American options are connected to foreign American policy towards Iran. The United States for instance still seeks a diplomatic solution rather than a military one and does not want a “regime change’ posture as it did with Iraq. The study highlights eight expected options to deal with the Iranian nuclear file: First, to ignore the Iranian file by Washington and no action against Iran; Second, to change the regime from the inside; Third, to wait for Iran to reach an advanced stage in her nuclear weapons capability for American military action to be meaningful, with international support and public cover; Fourth, diplomatic negotiation through Europe for the regime to retract; Fifth, to implement the Iraqi model in military action; Sixth, an open American-Iranian dialogue; Seventh, an Israeli military action with American approval under the pretext of self-defense; Eighth: implement the north Korean model, so Iran would put away it's nuclear weapon in return for ensuring her energy needs.

ISSN: 1811-8208

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