Testing to Predict the Financial Failure of Investment Companies Using Logistical Analysis: An Applied Study in the Iraqi Stock Market for the Period (2005-2019)
| المصدر: | مجلة القادسية للعلوم الإدارية والاقتصادية |
|---|---|
| الناشر: | جامعة القادسية - كلية الادارة والاقتصاد |
| المؤلف الرئيسي: | Al-Hasnawi, Salim Salal Rahi (Author) |
| مؤلفين آخرين: | Al-Edhari, Nawfal Yahya Sahib (Co-Author) |
| المجلد/العدد: | مج24, ع1 |
| محكمة: | نعم |
| الدولة: |
العراق |
| التاريخ الميلادي: |
2022
|
| الصفحات: | 281 - 293 |
| ISSN: |
1816-9171 |
| رقم MD: | 1269370 |
| نوع المحتوى: | بحوث ومقالات |
| اللغة: | الإنجليزية |
| قواعد المعلومات: | EcoLink |
| مواضيع: | |
| رابط المحتوى: |
الناشر لهذه المادة لم يسمح بإتاحتها. |
| المستخلص: |
The study objective to clarify the most important factors that lead to financial default and determine how to predict financial default, as well as making a comparison between the quantitative methods represented by the method of discriminant analysis and the method of logistic regression to know the work of each model in forecasting under the influence of the different characteristics and characteristics of the data used. The study population and sample consist of all the ongoing financial investment companies listed in the Iraqi Stock Exchange from (1/1/2005 to 31/12/2019) (4) investment companies. To test the hypotheses of the study, the (spss, excel) programs was used to build functions to predict financial failure and extract results. The study resulted in several conclusions, the most important of which are: The results of the logistic analysis showed that they matched the actual situation of all the studied investment companies and that the prediction error was implicitly stated, “that is, the model error in the prediction was in the years of study for some banks and investment companies. Either the condition of the bank or the company as a whole was identical with In light of these conclusions, a set of recommendations was reached, the most important of which are: After the positive results shown by the method of logistic analysis, we suggest that investment companies use it and adapt the conditions of its work to suit the work of banks and investment companies in Iraq. |
|---|---|
| ISSN: |
1816-9171 |
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