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The Impact of Oil Swings on the Algerian Economy and their Transmission Channels

المصدر: دراسات اقتصادية
الناشر: مركز البصيرة للبحوث والاستشارات والخدمات التعلمية
المؤلف الرئيسي: Benhenda, Nouha (Author)
مؤلفين آخرين: Hamidi, Khaled (Co-Author)
المجلد/العدد: مج23, ع1
محكمة: نعم
الدولة: الجزائر
التاريخ الميلادي: 2023
الشهر: جوان
الصفحات: 503 - 521
DOI: 10.37487/0845-023-001-027
ISSN: 1112-7988
رقم MD: 1393342
نوع المحتوى: بحوث ومقالات
اللغة: الإنجليزية
قواعد المعلومات: EcoLink
مواضيع:
كلمات المؤلف المفتاحية:
Oil Shocks | Fiscal Stance | VAR Model
رابط المحتوى:
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المستخلص: Oil prices continue to demonstrate unpredictable and volatile behaviors. Hence, Authorities of oil exporting countries are still trying to figure out the Oil Macroeconomic relationship and the channels by which oil prices may affect their economies. Studies on the subject matter devoted to Algerian specific economy remain highly insufficient. This study intends to clarify the dynamics of the main macroeconomic variables to both oil shocks and fiscal policy changes, making use of a vector autoregressive (VAR) model of a three-variable (oil prices, fiscal stance, and output) and its associated responses functions analysis. The findings of the empirical analyses suggest that oil shocks have a significant impact on macroeconomic variables in Algeria. Despite the fact that the Granger test reveals no signs of a long-term relationship. Impulse response analysis indicates that the fiscal stance is the mechanism by which changes in the price of oil transmit to the Algerian economy.

ISSN: 1112-7988