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دراسة تحليلية لاستراتيجية زراعة أهم أصناف محاصيل الحبوب في محافظة أسيوط

العنوان بلغة أخرى: Analytical Study of the Strategy of Agriculture the Most Important Grain Crops Varieties in Assiut Governorate
المصدر: المجلة المصرية للإقتصاد الزراعي
الناشر: الجمعية المصرية للإقتصاد الزراعي
المؤلف الرئيسي: إسماعيل، دعاء إسماعيل مرسي (مؤلف)
المؤلف الرئيسي (الإنجليزية): Ismail, Doaa Ismail Morsy
مؤلفين آخرين: ميخائيل، إيهاب مريد شرابين (م. مشارك)
المجلد/العدد: مج31, ع1
محكمة: نعم
الدولة: مصر
التاريخ الميلادي: 2021
الشهر: مارس
الصفحات: 27 - 54
ISSN: 1110-6832
رقم MD: 1484056
نوع المحتوى: بحوث ومقالات
اللغة: العربية
قواعد المعلومات: EcoLink
مواضيع:
الاقتصاد الزراعي | الإنتاج الزراعي | محاصيل الحبوب | مدينة أسيوط | مصر
كلمات المؤلف المفتاحية:
التباين في اتجاهين | أقل فرق معنوي | هاري اير - أدوارد شو | أسلوب تجزئة التغير | التحليل الرباعي
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المستخلص: تضم الحبوب الغذائية عددا كبيرا من الأنواع أهمها القمح والأرز والذرة الشامية والذرة الرفيعة والشعير والشيلم والشوفان، وترجع أهمية هذه الحبوب إلى سهولة إنتاجها ونقلها وتخزينها. وتهدف هذه الدراسة إلى التعرف على المؤشرات الإنتاجية واستراتيجية كل من أثر التطور التكنولوجي على الإنتاج الكلي وطرق زيادة دالة العرض باستخدام تكنولوجيا الأصناف ودراسة مدى مساهمة المساحة والإنتاجية الفدانية في الإنتاج الكلي لأهم محاصيل الحبوب في محافظة أسيوط واستراتيجية الإدارة العامة لإنتاج وفحص التقاوي ومحطة غربلة بني غالب بأسيوط. وتم استخدام تحليل التباين في اتجاهين، اختبار أقل فرق معنوي، نموذج (هاري اير -إدوارد شو)، أسلوب تجزئة التغير، والتحليل الرباعي. وكانت أهم النتائج أنه إذا تم إحلال الصنف بني سويف 1 لمحصول القمح، الصنف هجين فردي ۱۰ لمحصول الذرة الشامية، والصنف ايزيس للذرة الرفيعة فإن الإنتاج الكلي يزيد بحوالي 1195.97، 1723.36، ١٧١١,٦٥ ألف أردب على الترتيب خلال فترة الدراسة. ولذلك توصى الدراسة بزراعة صنف بني سويف 1 في محصول القمح، وهيجن فردي 10 لمحصول الذرة الشامية، وصنف إيزيس للذرة الرفيعة بمحافظة أسيوط.

Food grains include a large number of species. the most important of which are wheat. rice. maize. sorghum. barley. and oats. These grains are important because they are easy to produce. transport and store. and are also due to the high productivity and nutritional value of the area. The research problem is that although Assiut Governorate has achieved an increase in the acre productivity of some cereal crops. for example. there is a slight increase in the acre productivity of the wheat crop. However. this increase in the yields of maize and sorghum has not been proven despite their importance. Whether in human or animal nutrition. and this leads to lack of production from them. Which requires importing from abroad. which costs the state a lot of necessary hard currencies. For the economic development of the country. which requires the necessity of identifying the factors that help more in developing high-yielding varieties that are not affected by diseases and insect fungi in the governorate. The research aims at studying the production indicators of the most important grain crops in Assiut governorate. studying the strategy of the effect of technological development on total production. studying the strategy of increasing supply using the Varieties technology. also. study the contribution of the area and acre productivity to the total production of the most important grain crops in Assiut governorate. Finally. I shed light on the strategy of managing the seeds and the screening station of Beni Ghalib. considering that they are responsible for the multiplication of varieties of grain crops in Assiut. The research was based mainly on both secondary data obtained from the annual bulletin of agricultural statistics issued by the Central Department of Agricultural Economics of the Economic Affairs Sector of the Ministry of Agriculture and Land Reclamation.and the department of statistics and crop seeds of the Directorate of Agriculture of Assiut. and the web site of the Agricultural Research Center. The study has reached many results including the following: 1- The study showed an increase in cultivated area. acre production. and total production. a Significant statistical increase of about 4.11 thousand acres. 0.09 ardebs for acre. 88.85 thousand ardebs for wheat crops. respectively. Also. The harvest of maize has achieved an increase in the area and total production statistically amounted to about 3.66 thousand acres. 67.25 thousand ardebs respectively. whereas there was a statistical shortage in the production of an acre. which amounted to about 0.045 ardebs per acre. As for the crops of sorghum. It was found that the area under cultivation. total production. and acre productivity have taken a significant statistical decreasing trend both in the area under cultivation and total production. where they have reached about 2.58 thousand acres. 38.54 thousand ardebs in order during the study period. and non- Significant statistical for the acre productivity 2- The study showed the impact of the increase in productivity on the total production of the study crops. namely wheat. maize. and sorghum. where the average production was about 658.42. 435.99. 285.63 thousand ardebs. and an increase equivalent to about 19.18%. 17.35%.

and 15.78% of the average actual production during the study period. 3-The results also showed the existence of significant differences in the acre productivity of wheat and maize crops among different varieties and the strength of the effect of time on the productivity of the acres at the probability level 0.01. and the yield of sorghum was at the probability level 0.05. 4- By estimating the impact of the cultivation of modern varieties of the study crops on the transfer of the Supply Function to them. it was found that all varieties lead to the transfer of the resulting supply of wheat crops. maize. sorghum. to the right. for example. in wheat. maize. and sorghum. 6- it is clear that the varieties of Sodas- 12. individual hybrid 2031. and Isis have achieved the highest relative coefficient transmission to the right of about 7.11%. 2.57%. 4.64% respectively. 5- As the study shows that if the category Beni Suef 1 of wheat is replaced by its varieties namely Giza 168. Sodas 12. Beni Suef 5. and Masr 1. it leads to an increase in production by about 1195.97 thousand ardebs. As for the maize crop. If the individual hybrid 10 is replaced individual hybrid supplant 2031. Individual hybrid 2030. individual hybrid30 K9. hybrid tri310. hybrid individual national 6. national individual hybrid 4. individual hybrid 101. individual30 k8. and tri-hybrid 321 leads to increased production by about 1723.36 thousand ardebs. Finally. If the Isis class of high sorghum crop is replaced by its varieties. namely Drodado. Horus. Mecca. Giza 15. the total production increases by about 1.711.65 thousand ardebs during the study period. It is clear from the study of the relative importance of the impact of both the area and the agricultural productivity on the total production of wheat. maize. And sorghum shows that the area cultivated for each contributes about 85.38%. 91.39%. and 61.43% of total production respectively. while the increase in the yield of the total production in the yield period contributes about 9.64%. 3.93%. and 32.49% of the change in total production in the order of the crop in the comparison period from the base year. The combined impact together of area and productivity contributed about 4.99%. 4.69% and 6.08% to the change in total output during the comparison period. respectively. 7- Finally. the study of the quadruple analysis (SWOT) of the seed management and the sifting station of Bani Ghaleb in Assiut province shows the emphasis on the strengths and opportunities on the one hand. and at the same time attention to weaknesses and threats on the other..

In light of the above results of the study recommends the following: 1- Planting the category of Beni Suef 1 for the wheat crop. and an individual hybrid 10 for the maiz. and the sorghum of Isis and they are varieties with high productivity replaces the varieties that currently exist where they are highly productive and resistant to diseases in the province of Assiut. 2- It is recommended that the seed department increase varieties giving the farmer his dues in the shortest possible time on the one hand and contract with transport trucks to load the crop from the farms and deduct the cost from the compensation defined by the Ministry of Agriculture. 3- Work to keep the price of the guarantee set by the government with the actual costs of the crops in place. especially since these crops are strategic and very important for both human and animal nutrition. 4- Applying the classy policy of the province and not cultivating varieties that are not suitable to cultivate it avoiding the injury to diseases and insect fungi disappears.
ISSN: 1110-6832

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