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Competitiveness and its Beyond: Examining the Impact of Exports, Exchange Rates, Inflation and Government Budget on Economic Growth in BRICS, Iran, Egypt and Ethiopia "2011-2021"

المصدر: مجلة الدراسات التجارية والاقتصادية المعاصرة
الناشر: جامعة ابن خلدون تيارت - الملحقة الجامعية قصر الشلالة
المؤلف الرئيسي: Talmat, Malika (Author)
مؤلفين آخرين: Tchikou, Faouzi (Co-Author)
المجلد/العدد: مج7, ع2
محكمة: نعم
الدولة: الجزائر
التاريخ الميلادي: 2024
الشهر: جويلية
الصفحات: 33 - 49
DOI: 10.55624/2382-007-002-002
ISSN: 2661-7153
رقم MD: 1490788
نوع المحتوى: بحوث ومقالات
اللغة: الإنجليزية
قواعد المعلومات: EcoLink
مواضيع:
كلمات المؤلف المفتاحية:
Competitiveness | Economic Growth | Export | Exchange Rates | ARDL Method | BRICS+ Countries
رابط المحتوى:
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المستخلص: This study delves into the paradox surrounding competitiveness, exploring its origins and concepts. The primary objective is to investigate how export competitiveness, exchange rates, inflation, and government budget impacted the economic growth of BRICS+ countries, including Iran, Egypt, and Ethiopia, over the period 2011 to 2021. Utilizing annual time series data, mainly sourced from WDI with additional data from IMF (consumer price index) and Bruegel dataset (reel effective exchange rates), we employed the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model to analyze the relationships between the variables. The empirical findings from the ARDL Panel method indicate that exchange rates and exports positively influence economic growth both in the short and long term. On the other hand, inflation has a negative short-term impact but a positive long-term effect on economic growth. Additionally, the government budget exerts a positive impact at short term but negative at long term on economic growth. The significant and negative Error Correction Coefficient (COINTEQ01 = -0.0994) at a 1% level of significance underscores the immediate short-term effects of export competitiveness, real exchange rate, inflation, and budget deficit in the examined countries (BRICS+, Egypt, Ethiopia, and Iran).

ISSN: 2661-7153

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