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The Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility on International Trade: Evidence from China

المصدر: المجلة العربية للإدارة
الناشر: المنظمة العربية للتنمية الإدارية
المؤلف الرئيسي: Anis, Marwa (Author)
مؤلفين آخرين: Alaaeldin, Aya (Co-Author)
المجلد/العدد: مج43, ع3
محكمة: نعم
الدولة: مصر
التاريخ الميلادي: 2023
الشهر: سبتمبر
الصفحات: 299 - 314
ISSN: 1110-5453
رقم MD: 1505136
نوع المحتوى: بحوث ومقالات
اللغة: الإنجليزية
قواعد المعلومات: EcoLink
مواضيع:
كلمات المؤلف المفتاحية:
Exchange Rate | International Trade | Imports | Exports
رابط المحتوى:
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المستخلص: This paper proposes helpful insights regarding the impact of the exchange rate volatility on international trade. The focus has been on China using a monthly data from the period of January 2003 to August 2018. This is mainly an attempt to contribute to the ongoing debates about this relationship. Time series analysis is adopted specifically; stationary test, granger-causality test, co-integration and error correlation model and finally the residual test. Results indicate that there is a co-integration relationship among the variables. The er-ror correlation model has shown that both the exchange rate and inflation have a significant negative impact on imports. Additionally, there is a significant positive relationship between the exchange rate and exports. Further results have shown there is a significant negative relationship between inflation and exports. A few suggestions are provided to the Chinese policy makers. In this connection, a guideline for future researchers are presented.

ISSN: 1110-5453

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