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الصين وروسيا وأزمة البرنامج النووي الإيراني

المصدر: مجلة دراسات شرق أوسطية
الناشر: مركز دراسات الشرق الاوسط
المؤلف الرئيسي: الشيخ، نورهان السيد (مؤلف)
المجلد/العدد: مج 11, ع 38
محكمة: نعم
الدولة: الأردن
التاريخ الميلادي: 2007
الصفحات: 129 - 136
ISSN: 1811-8208
رقم MD: 202016
نوع المحتوى: بحوث ومقالات
قواعد المعلومات: EcoLink, HumanIndex
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المستخلص: The paper talks abut Iran's complicated nuclear issue, emphasizing its right in uranium enrichment while the US and European Union strongly opposes it. China and Russia have another position and in principle, both countries back Iran's right in possessing nuclear technology for peaceful uses, and oppose imposing strong international al punishment measures. The paper discusses two groups of factors taken into account by china and Russia: Political and legal factors in both counties cooperation with Iran, most important is that they have close cooperation with Iran in the nuclear field. Russia is bound by agreements to build nuclear plants and train Iranian experts. It is, therefore, a party directly sharing in the development of Iran's nuclear power, China offers help necessary for building installations and centers for training Iranian scientists and technicians in this field. A second factor is both big powers see that the Iranian nuclear program is legitimate according to international cooperation rules. Iran had signed a nonproliferation treaty and its annexed protocol. A third factor is that German and US parties had extended nuclear help to India, no country has criticized Moscow, so US position towards Iran is political, not legal. Economic factors: The Russian agreement for building the Bushahr nuclear plant accounts for 800 million dollars, in addition to jobs for about 10000 Russian experts and the possible building of more plants. Iran, at the same time is an important trade partner with China and Russia. Iranian oil is very important to China. On the other hand, Iran is a prominent market for Russian and Chinese arms. Against this background, three are two main scenarios for Iran future nuclear issue: Iran may limit its nuclear power for peaceful uses, as Iranians assert. In such a case, Russian and Chinese support would not stand, and the US is likely to refrain from using power against Iran. Iran may militarily develop its nuclear power, leading to lower level of Russian and Chinese support and the rise in US pressure. The first scenario will be most likely in the near future. But Iran cannot postpone its possession of nuclear arms for a ling time, where it would consolidate its power and regional position. In this case, Arab countries have a pressing need to develop an Arab strategy for

ISSN: 1811-8208

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