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يظهر هذا التقرير أن ثمة إمكانية لتطوير دور تركي داخلي وعملي في الشرق الأوسط، وعبر بوابة المصلحة العربية لإحداث توازن مهم مع تنامي الدور الإيراني في لبنان والخليج، وذلك في المجالات المذهبية والاقتصادية والاستراتيجية على حد سواء، وأن اهتماماً عربياً متوازناً سوف يعمل لمصلحة لجم أي أطماع أو تطلعات هيمنة، لأي من الدولتين تجاه العرب.
The author gives a brief analysis for both Iran and Turkey's possible roles in Iran, Palestine, Lebanon and Arab relations. Since its occupation by the US in 2003, Iraq has been an arena for foreign intervention, notably by Iran and Turkey. The Turks have an important role in Iraq through their support of Turkmans, Arab Sunnis and moderate Shiites, to keep Iraq united, against Kurds and some Shiites who call for the partition of Iraq. Iran would gain the most in the case of Iraqi partition, for its close links with the political and religious Shiite elite. Iran, also, has good ties with the Kurds and therefore would have a better chance in the case of Iraqi partition. At the level of Palestine, both Iran and Turkey try to play a political role and influence in the decision making. Turkey has close old relations and remarkable economic links with Israel. Ankara tries to build positive ties with the Arab and Islamic neighboring countries, and support Palestinian rights enabling it to have a likely role in the peace process. Iran, on the other side, supports the Islamic Jihad movement, and Hamas at a smaller level. But it reveals strong opposition to Israel. The political realities of balanced Turkish links with the Palestinian movements, and friendly relations with Israel enables Ankara to have a role in solving the Palestinian problem. With Arab countries, Iran had had tense relations after its Islamic Revolution in 1979, but they improved under the rule of the reformers in Tehran. Turkish relations, on the other side, improve from time to time, according to Turkish and international political developments. The Gulf Arab countries prefer stronger ties with Turkey. Arab fears of Iraq partition and Persian ambitions, and the likely rise of the so-called "Shiite Crescent", gives Iran a role in influencing the Arab Middle East, far less than Turkey which enjoys political, economic and historical factors in this.
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