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احتمالات اندلاع حرب في منطقة الشرق الأوسط 2007 - 2010

المصدر: مجلة دراسات شرق أوسطية
الناشر: مركز دراسات الشرق الاوسط
المؤلف الرئيسي: الزيات، صفوت (مؤلف)
المجلد/العدد: مج 14, ع 52
محكمة: نعم
الدولة: الأردن
التاريخ الميلادي: 2010
الصفحات: 43 - 53
ISSN: 1811-8208
رقم MD: 202706
نوع المحتوى: بحوث ومقالات
اللغة: العربية
قواعد المعلومات: EcoLink, HumanIndex
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المستخلص: The argument about the break up of a war in one of the three tense areas of the region continues around the clock. This is due to the sequence of events associated with political statements, military activities and armament systems here and there. There are also field engagements which rise between civilized parties lacking the least level of trust and depend on weak calm arrangements. It is very complicated to address the war per se let alone predict its scenarios, because of the intertwining of several direct or indirect and regional or international interventions. Furthermore, some regional parties adopt many senseless attitudes in the management of such crises by taking them to the verge of armed conflict at times when levels of preparedness for the war are not achieved. Thus, it is necessary to be careful and deal with the overall context of the events. It is true that the three cases of tension - Iran and its nuclear program, Israel and the northern Lebanese-Syrian alliance dilemma, and then also Israel with the Palestinian Gaza resistance crisis -are highly intertwined. However, the situation of each case needs a somehow independent investigation considering the connection between each party and the interests, and perhaps strategies, of other parties in other fronts.

ISSN: 1811-8208