المستخلص: |
Many political observers of the current Iraqi situation discuss the repercussions of the US military withdrawal from Iraq on the Arabian Gulf states, which have fears of the transference of sectarian violence and chaos to their territories. They are afraid for their durable social texture of any repercussions of civil conflict, which are knocking the doors of some of these states. The Gulf states have more fears. There are the developments in the Iraqi case itself along with any possible negative repercussions in light of a number of variables. For instance, a government representative of the political process partners has not been formed, a prime minister has not been agreed upon, nor a straightforward political programme has been set to satisfy the Iraqis and assure the neighboring countries. Even worse, the Gulf states have seen with concern the increasing interference of other neighboring countries - like Turkey, Iran and Syria - in the Iraqi internal affairs, which make them extremely worried about a greater influence of those countries in Iraq. Consequently, taking into account the strategic and security observation of the developments in the changing Iraqi situation in all the possibilities, the Gulf states shall work on two among other options. On the one hand, they would exert much effort to convince the Americans not to make a complete withdrawal. On the other hand, they would support a government which represents all the partners in the political process.
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