| المستخلص: |
إن ما يمكن الحديث عنه من سيناريوهات قد ترسم ملامح مستقبل القضية الفلسطينية يبقى في طي القراءة والتحليل، ويبقى هناك الكثير من المحاذير الرئيسية التي يجب أن يتم توخيها في الحديث عن أي سيناريو قد يتم تطبيقه، إلا أن الحديث عن سيناريو تجزئة ملف المصالحة وتطبيقه قد يكون الأقرب وفقاً للمعطيات علي الأرض، وهذا يجعلنا ندرك تماما أن الحالة الحزبية والتجاذبات السياسية تلعب دوراً مهماً في سياقات القضية الفلسطينية، هذا إلي جانب الأثر الذي ينعكس بشكل مباشر وغير مباشر كنتيجة حتمية للمتغيرات الإقليمية والدولية سواء ما يتعلق بالثورات العربية أو الحالة السياسية في العالم .
It seems that the situation in Palestine can only be described as the 'mercurial reality'. It is constantly changing due to various internal or external factors. Within this scene, enormous efforts are exerted by Palestinian, Arab and Islamic parties to maintain the unity of the people. They aim at safeguarding the cause from the swift shifts which may come to the point of forgetting that ending the Israeli occupation is the ultimate target for all the Palestinians' efforts to gain their self-determination and independent statehood, with Jerusalem as its capital. Accordingly, the following are six possible scenarios for the Palestinian scene in terms of reconciliation as well as the question of the elections which is raised from time to time. The first is the persistence of the status quo. The second, preferred by Fatah, is accord without elections. The third, preferred by Hamas, is both accord and elections. The fourth, hoped by the people, is the situation's return to the pre-division era. The fifth is ordinary elections in the West bank and electronic balloting in the Gaza Strip. The sixth is the partitioning of the reconciliation. To what extent the aforementioned scenarios are realistic remains under investigation, but one should be cautious while discussing any of them. In fact, the one of the partitioning of the reconciliation may be the most practical according to the current conditions, bearing in mind the significant role of the political and partisan polarization on the ground. In addition, there is the direct and indirect influence of regional and international \
|
