| المستخلص: |
The crisis of Egypt is believed to be away from the doctrine of the military. It has witnessed unprecedented violence, which has caused uncounted or unannounced deaths in a country known for accuracy of statistics. On the other hand, the Israeli straightforward concern of the dilemma and continuous support to the events could help determine the direct factors shaping the course of Egyptian politics. In addition to the appearance of Egyptian officials on Israeli media, the figures close to the new rulers are linked to previous periods for promoting normalization and joining the ‘Copenhagen Alliance’ in the late 1990’s. As the status quo does not pave the way for the return of Mubarak’s men or regime, different rules are set for the game to reflect the close relation between the Hebrew State and the new rulers in Cairo. For instance, it is not a normal incident to charge someone with contact with Hamas. This means that, in a decade’s time, the Egyptian stance changed to criminalizing the description of Israel as ‘an enemy state’ and considering Hamas an enemy group. These brisk shifts are intensely reflected in the internal front, not only in the parties’ realization that it has become a strategic conflict of existence, but also in the absence of any potential or clear point of agreement. Furthermore, if an Israeli role is significant, the crisis is not likely to come to an end soon unless the Muslim Brotherhood is politically and socially dismantled. Israel believes that it now has a historical chance to open strategic options with limited costs. This vision differs from that of the US in terms of the scope of exclusion. Washington aims to politically marginalize the organization but without excluding it from public presence. However, there are factors confining the aspirations of Israel and some of the new rulers in Egypt. These are connected to the characteristics of the Egyptian people and their long, continuous peaceful protest against the new authorities. Moreover, the latest events since those of the Republican Guards clash with the traditional doctrine of official institutions. Therefore, the survival of the crisis and the complicated external pressures may set a number of options, such as organizing a referendum on constitutional amendments or carrying on with constitutional declarations, the latter of which is associated with no breakthrough in the combat against Islamists.
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