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الآفاق المستقبلية للطلب العالمي للنفط و دور الدول الأعضاء في مواجهته

المصدر: مجلة النفط والتعاون العربي
الناشر: منظمة الاقطار العربية المصدرة للبترول - الأمانة العامة
المؤلف الرئيسي: الزيتوني، الطاهر (مؤلف)
المؤلف الرئيسي (الإنجليزية): El-Zetoni, Eltaher
المجلد/العدد: مج 37, ع 139
محكمة: نعم
الدولة: الكويت
التاريخ الميلادي: 2011
الشهر: خريف
الصفحات: 9 - 79
رقم MD: 477878
نوع المحتوى: بحوث ومقالات
قواعد المعلومات: EcoLink
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المستخلص: The study aims to shed light on future prospects of world oil demand, and tracking the potential geographical sources and sectorial growth by member countries. Part One provides an overview of the global oil demand evolution, particularly in the last two decades (1990-2010), in which the demand rose by approximately 20 million b/d, reaching 86.3 million b/d in 2010. Developing countries were for 87.4% of the total increase. Part Two treats the major factors affecting world oil demand, like population increase, economic growth, transportation evolution, oil prices, oil tax policies, fostering alternative energy policies, and their implications on the world oil growth over the period 1990-2010. Part Three draws up an overview of the global oil demand in 2030, by reviewing the medium term oil prices and their impacts on the economic growth, in the first hand, while in second hand will focused on long term the evolution of the population and economic growth, and the specific energy policies followed in each region, especially in the OECD countries (Western Europe, USA, Japan, North Korea, and Australia). Part Four depicts an exhaustive outlook of the global oil demand, for the medium-term, including the OPEC appraisals for 2015 going from 87.2 million b/d according to a low- growth scenario, to about 92.6 million according to the high- growth scenario. The differences between each international organizations and establishments scenario are presented. Part Five highlights the role of the member countries in facing global oil demand.

البحث عن مساعدة: 704563

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