520 |
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|b The present study explores the future of the Middle East regimes in the post-Arab Spring era, and whether it will change the quality of those elites, who have been ruling since the independence. The study focuses on the interaction between the forces of political change and those resisting it, describing the interim stage of the Arab Spring states. The developments in the regimes of the region are investigated by means of reviewing the possible impact of the acting powers – the US, EU, Russia, China, India, Brazil, Turkey and Qatar – in the new ME order, regardless of these public uprisings’ success or failure. It is found that those changes will not be limited to the democratic shift in each country. The major international players will be so interested in participating in composing the regimes currently taking shape. On the other hand, the relations between the forces of the region are likely to be influenced by the output of the uprisings in other Arab countries, the ending of the Syrian crisis and the possible unrest in Arab royalties. The repercussions of the uprisings will affect not only neighbouring Arab countries, but also the balance of power for several states in the region, such as Turkey, Iran, Saudi Arabia and Egypt. It is the forces calling for change in the Arab Spring countries which would determine the destiny of those uprisings, which are currently encountering resistance due to various factors. Firstly, some international powers concerned about Israel are pressing to re-form the ME order in a way that guarantees security for the Hebrew State and energy for the West. Secondly, some regional powers intervene to abort the revolts in a bid to protect their interests or royal thrones. Thirdly, deep national institutions are allying with counter-revolutionary powers to contain and inhibit those uprisings.
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