Testing the Relationship between Money Supply and Gross Domestic Produc in Egypt

يجب تسجيل الدخول أولا

المصدر:	مجلة مصر المعاصرة
الناشر:	الجمعية المصرية للاقتصاد السياسي والإحصاء والتشريع
المؤلف الرئيسي:	Gomaa, Mohammed Said Abou Alsoud (Author)
المجلد/العدد:	مج103, ع503
محكمة:	نعم
الدولة:	مصر
التاريخ الميلادي:	2011
الشهر:	يوليو
الصفحات:	15 - 35
ISSN:	0013-239X
رقم MD:	663844
نوع المحتوى:	بحوث ومقالات
قواعد المعلومات:	EcoLink
مواضيع:	السياسة النقدية \| التدفقات النقدية \| الناتج المحلي \| مصر
رابط المحتوى:	PDF (صورة) PDF (نص) HTML

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المستخلص:	This paper uses the Cointegration, Error Correction Model, and Granger Causality techniques to determine the relationship between the real money supply and real GDP in Egypt, and the direction of the causality between the two variables in both short and long run. The study covers the period from 1991 to 2010. ADF test showed the two series are Integrated of order one I(1). The Cointegration test indicated the existence of a long run equilibrium between real GDP and real money supply based on Engle- Granger two steps test. The Error term and F-test from VECM beside the Granger causality test indicated unidirectional causality running from real GDP to real money supply in the ..hort run as well as in the long run. This result consistent with the Keynesian theory, the (RBC) theory and various empirical studies in different countries. We conclude that real money supply had neutral effect on the real GDP growth in Egypt during the study period.
وصف العنصر:	النص باللغة الإنجليزية
ISSN:	0013-239X