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The Effect Of Changes in Government Expenditure and Exchange Rate on The Income Of The United Kingdom

المصدر: مجلة التجارة والتمويل
الناشر: جامعة طنطا - كلية التجارة
المؤلف الرئيسي: Negem, Siham Hamed (Author)
المجلد/العدد: ع3
محكمة: نعم
الدولة: مصر
التاريخ الميلادي: 2014
الصفحات: 1 - 31
ISSN: 1110-4716
رقم MD: 666596
نوع المحتوى: بحوث ومقالات
قواعد المعلومات: EcoLink
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LEADER 02264nam a22001937a 4500
001 0255178
044 |b مصر 
100 |9 42709  |a Negem, Siham Hamed  |e Author 
245 |a The Effect Of Changes in Government Expenditure and Exchange Rate on The Income Of The United Kingdom 
260 |b جامعة طنطا - كلية التجارة  |c 2014 
300 |a 1 - 31 
336 |a بحوث ومقالات 
520 |b This paper examines the effect of changes in policies relating to fiscal policy, monetary policy and international competitiveness and trade flows within a Mundell- Fleming type open economy model by using time series data of the UK economy. Policy scenarios was analysed using ex-post forecasts from 1990 to 2001 and ex-ante forecasts for 2001-2020. The results indicate that the expansionary policy, with growth of government expenditure, by various percentages, will raise income and as a consequence, the predicted values of tax, consumption, and imports will increase. However, when using a contractory policy, cutting government expenditure, by different percentages we find that the most notable outcome is the decrease in predicted tax. This decrease for income, consumption and import is shown in the early years of the forecasting period. However, in the long run, these variables will increase. Concerning the monetary policy represented in change in the exchange rate, we have two cases. When the pound appreciates against the dollar, it was found that exports fall and imports rose causing net exports to decline. Import will increase in the first three years. The predicted values of income, consumption and tax will increase. The opposite happens in the second case which is the depreciation in the pound. Finally, impulse response analysis is used to determine the response of income, consumption, and investment over time to a shock. 
653 |a الإنفاق الحكومى  |a سعر الصرف  |a علم الإقتصاد 
773 |4 الاقتصاد  |4 إدارة الأعمال  |6 Business  |6 Management  |c 006  |f Al-Tiǧāraẗ wa Al-Tamwīl  |l 003  |m ع3  |o 1025  |s مجلة التجارة والتمويل  |t Journal of Trade and Financing  |v 034  |x 1110-4716 
856 |u 1025-034-003-006.pdf 
930 |d y  |p y  |q y 
995 |a EcoLink 
999 |c 666596  |d 666596 

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