المستخلص: |
Since the 1979 Islamic Revolution of Iran, the Arabian Gulf has suffered a state of regional instability. Tehran’s political behaviour towards the region has mostly been featured by enmity, taking the form of indirect confrontation between the two sides. The crisis escalated when Iran came close to producing nuclear weapons. In return, the Gulf Cooperation Council states attempted to prevent Tehran from achieving its goals by different means, such as economic boycott, sanctions and indirect war. However, they have failed so far. The present study investigates the Arabian Gulf security in light of Iran’s scenarios as a nuclear state. Tehran signed an agreement in this regard with the international powers, with which the GCC states were not satisfied. Three major topics are discussed: Security problems in the Arabian Gulf; Iranian-Western Agreement Impact on Gulf Security and Scenarios of Dealing with Nuclear Iran’s Hegemony over the Arabian Gulf. It is found that if Tehran’s possesses nuclear capabilities as a reality, the GCC states may need to co-exist with such a situation for years. But its short-term negative effects would enhance the possibility of indirect confrontation between all the parties.
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