| المستخلص: |
The agricultural sector in Libya contributes significantly to meet the food needs of the citizens. However, the data indicate that wheat production decreased from about 128.8 thousand tons in 1990 to about 78.9 thousand tons in 2013. However, production is not enough for consumption. There is also a deficit covered by imports from the outside, the study aimed to study the development of cultivated area, quantity of production, productivity, consumption and imports of wheat in addition to the development of the food gap, self-sufficiency ratio and the annual per capita share of wheat in Libya during the period 1990-2013. The research was based on descriptive economic analysis method, supported by some economic indicators and means of estimation. The measurement used for some statistical methods for estimating the compound annual growth rates of the research variables in addition to estimating the gradual regression to identify and estimation of some factors affecting the wheat production in Libya during the period 1990 - 2013. The annual growth rate of wheat productivity and the annual growth rate of wheat self-sufficiency and the recommended level of food (37 kg / year) per capita globally in Libya are all decreasing. On the other hand, the increase in annual growth rate of wheat imports and annual growth rate for national consumption of wheat. It was also found that the most important variables for the production of domestic wheat are the national income, which is the first, while the variable prices of flour imports secondly followed in terms of the variable price of wheat prices and finally, the agricultural price variable for wheat, the study recommended reconsidering the policy of supporting imported flour for the benefit of the consumer and converting part of this support in favor of the producer in the form of production requirements, placing the wheat crop within the crops of the irrigated agricultural cycle and following rational price policies that increase the productivity and production through the vertical expansion using modern technologies.
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