| المستخلص: |
1. The Egyptian population increased gradually during the period (2007- 2019) by an increase rate of 32.2% of the total population, rising from 74.8 million in 2007 to 98.9 million in 2019. 2- According to the medium hypothesis, the population is expected to rise from about 95.5 million in 2017 to 153.7 million in 2052, an increase of 58.2 million during the period, while Egypt's population will reach 191.3 million in 2052 If current reproduction levels of 3.4 children per woman persist according to the constant fertility hypothesis. 3- The number of students in primary stage is expected to increase from 11.7 million in 2017 to about 13 million in 2052 according to the medium hypothesis. The number of teachers needed to meet this growing number of students is expected to increase from about 440 thousand teachers in 2017 to 491 thousand teachers in 2052, and also the required number of primary schools will increase from 19 thousand schools in 2017 to about 21 thousand schools in 2052. 4- According to the constant hypothesis, the number of primary stage students will rise from 11.7 million in 2017 to 22.3 million in 2052, and the number of required schools will increase to 36 thousand schools in 2052 and the number of teachers to 838 thousand in 2052 compared to 491 thousand teachers only according to the medium hypothesis. 5- According to the medium hypothesis, the number of students in preparatory stage will increase between 2017 and 2052 by 1.4 million and this requires increasing the number of teachers by 73 thousand teachers and providing 4 thousand additional schools, but according to constant fertility assumption, the number of preparatory stage students will increase between 2017 and 2052 by 4.8 million. This requires increasing the number of teachers supposed to be provided by 261 thousand teachers between the two years and providing 12 thousand additional schools. 6- According to the medium hypothesis, the number of secondary stage students is expected to increase from 3.5 million students in 2017 to about 4.3 million students in 2052. In contrast, according to the constant hypothesis, the number of students increases from 3.5 million in 2017 to 6.2 million in 2052. 7- The increase in the number of students of secondary stage requires providing about 309 thousand secondary teachers in 2052 compared to 254 thousand teachers in 2017 according to the medium hypothesis, but according to the constant hypothesis it is expected that the number of required teachers will increase to 447 thousand teachers in 2052. 8- For secondary stage, it is expected according to the medium hypothesis that the required number of schools will increase from 6 thousand in 2017 to 7 thousand in 2052. In contrast, according to constant hypothesis; the required number of schools will increase to 10 thousand in 2052. 9- According to the medium hypothesis, the number of required doctors in all health sectors is expected to increase from 128 thousand in 2017 to 207 thousand in 2052, while it will rise to 257 thousand according to the constant hypothesis as a result of the expected increase in population and to ensure the continuation of health services on their level. 10- The number of nurses is expected to increase from 214 thousand in 2017 to 345 thousand in 2052 for the medium hypothesis, compared to 429 thousand according to the constant hypothesis. 11- The number of hospitals required to be provided according to the medium hypothesis increases from 2 thousand in 2017 to 3 thousand in 2052 compared to 4 thousand according to the constant hypothesis. 12- As a result of the expected increase of the population, the number of hospital beds required to be provided will increase from 132 thousand beds in 2017 to 213 thousand beds in 2052 according to the medium hypothesis and 265 thousand according to the constant hypothesis.
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