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A Study on the Effect of Interest Rate on Inflation Rate in Egypt

المصدر: المجلة العلمية للاقتصاد والتجارة
الناشر: جامعة عين شمس - كلية التجارة
المؤلف الرئيسي: El-Sadat, Essmat Hassan Ahmed Essmat (Author)
مؤلفين آخرين: Mowafy, Mamdouh Abd Al-Alim Saad (Co-Author)
المجلد/العدد: ع1
محكمة: نعم
الدولة: مصر
التاريخ الميلادي: 2020
الشهر: أبريل
الصفحات: 293 - 322
ISSN: 2636-2562
رقم MD: 1066407
نوع المحتوى: بحوث ومقالات
اللغة: الإنجليزية
قواعد المعلومات: EcoLink
مواضيع:
كلمات المؤلف المفتاحية:
Interest Rates | Inflation Rates | Exchange Rates | Net Exports Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average "ARIMA" | Model and Error Correction model "ECM"
رابط المحتوى:
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LEADER 02323nam a22002297a 4500
001 1804691
041 |a eng 
044 |b مصر 
100 |9 576402  |a El-Sadat, Essmat Hassan Ahmed Essmat  |e Author 
245 |a A Study on the Effect of Interest Rate on Inflation Rate in Egypt 
260 |b جامعة عين شمس - كلية التجارة  |c 2020  |g أبريل 
300 |a 293 - 322 
336 |a بحوث ومقالات  |b Article 
520 |b In the recent periods, Egypt is seeking to find new ways in order to reduce the inflation rate by using the tools of the Central Bank of Egypt through monetary policy and fiscal policy, as the Central Bank of Egypt has reduced the interest rate four times over the past three years since the liberalization of the exchange rate in March 2016. Exchange rates and net exports are very effective and important moderators to be included in an econometric model that can implies the effect of interest rates on the inflation rate. An Error correction model (ECM) for long run forecasting of inflation rate showed a direct significant impact of interest rate and exchange rate on the inflation rate while it showed an inverse significant impact of net exports on the inflation rate. An Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) time series model illustrates that inflation rate time series is stationary at the first difference and a forecasting can be generated depending on one previous observation of the same series. These results confirm that the Egyptian government has made great progress in the steps of controlling the high levels of inflation rate. 
653 |a السياسات الاقتصادية  |a السياسة المالية  |a أسعار الفائدة  |a معدلات التضخم  |a مصر 
692 |b Interest Rates  |b Inflation Rates  |b Exchange Rates  |b Net Exports Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average "ARIMA"  |b Model and Error Correction model "ECM" 
700 |9 576405  |a Mowafy, Mamdouh Abd Al-Alim Saad  |e Co-Author 
773 |4 الاقتصاد  |6 Economics  |c 051  |e Scientific Journal for Economic & Commerce  |f Al-Maġallah Al-ʿilmiyyah Lil-Iqtiṣād Wal Tiğārah  |l 001  |m ع1  |o 0527  |s المجلة العلمية للاقتصاد والتجارة  |v 050  |x 2636-2562 
856 |u 0527-050-001-051.pdf 
930 |d y  |p y  |q n 
995 |a EcoLink 
999 |c 1066407  |d 1066407 

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