Forecasting Algeria’s Unemployment Rates Using Sarima Model in Python Programming during 2001-2021
| المصدر: | مجلة المنتدى للدراسات والأبحاث الإقتصادية |
|---|---|
| الناشر: | جامعة زيان عاشور بالجلفة - كلية العلوم الإقتصادية والتجارية وعلوم التسيير - قسم العلوم الإقتصادية |
| المؤلف الرئيسي: | Benayad, Wafaa (Author) |
| مؤلفين آخرين: | Halimi, Wahiba (Co-Author) |
| المجلد/العدد: | مج6, ع1 |
| محكمة: | نعم |
| الدولة: |
الجزائر |
| التاريخ الميلادي: |
2022
|
| الصفحات: | 586 - 600 |
| ISSN: |
2588-1817 |
| رقم MD: | 1278915 |
| نوع المحتوى: | بحوث ومقالات |
| اللغة: | الإنجليزية |
| قواعد المعلومات: | EcoLink |
| مواضيع: | |
| كلمات المؤلف المفتاحية: |
Forecasting | Algeria’s Unemployment Rates | Sarima Model | Python Programming | Covid-19 Pandemic
|
| رابط المحتوى: |
عدد مرات التحميل
4
| المستخلص: |
Unemployment is one of the major economic, social and political problems that all the countries of the world are seeking to reduce its severity and to guard against his negatives effects on economy. On that basis, this study aimed to model and to forecast monthly unemployment rates in Algeria using Seasonal Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average Model (SARIMA), which is one of the crucial and most widely used forecasting models for univariate time series data forecasting that takes into account seasonal elements. Depending on modern python programming, the expected results indicated that among the suggested models, SARIMA Model (5.1.3) (1.0.0) has got good performance, and it has been statistically accepted. The forecasting findings during the 12 months of 2021, indicate that a steady enormous increase of the unemployment rates. |
|---|---|
| ISSN: |
2588-1817 |
عناصر مشابهة
-
Smart Forecast of Algeria’s Unemployment Rates during 1991-2020
بواسطة: Benayad, Wafaa منشور: (2022) -
The Importance of Developing Foreign Trade to Achieve Economic Growth in Algeria during the Period "1991-2017" Using the ARDL Model
بواسطة: Bouklia, Nawel منشور: (2021) -
The Effect of Government Spending on the Unemployment Rate in Algeria in the Light of Fluctuations in Oil Prices, Using a Model ARDL
بواسطة: Zerbout, Amina منشور: (2023) -
The Importance of Selecting Bayesian Nonparametric Survival Models: Application to the Estimation of Unemployment Durations
بواسطة: Hamimes, Ahmed منشور: (2022) -
The Socioeconomic Approach of Unemployment in Algeria during "1990-2018"
بواسطة: Djellal, Abdelkader منشور: (2021)
