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|a ara
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|b مصر
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|a الزعبلاوي، محمد الشحات
|g Elzaabalawy, Mohammed Elshahat
|e مؤلف
|9 787541
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|a أثر الإنفاق الحكومي على النمو في القطاع الزراعي
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|a The Impact of Government Spending on Agricultural Sector Growth
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|b الجمعية المصرية للإقتصاد الزراعي
|c 2021
|g مارس
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|a 209 - 222
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|a بحوث ومقالات
|b Article
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|a هناك جدل دائم حول طرق تدخل الحكومة في القطاعات الاقتصادية. في الوقت الحالي تعاني الموازنة العامة المصرية من عجز مستمر في تمويل بنود الأنفاق المختلفة مما يضطر الدولة إلى الاقتراض لتغطية ذلك العجز الأمر الذي يزيد من تفاقم الدين وخدمته. لذلك فالأمر يتطلب معرفة فعالية الأنفاق الحكومي على القطاع الزراعي وتأثير هذا الأنفاق على النمو الاقتصادي بالقطاع الزراعي حتى يتسنى للحكومة تحقيق الكفاءة في الأنفاق العام وبالتالي خفض عجز الموازنة. في المنهجية البحثية تم الاعتماد على النظرية الكلاسيكية لعناصر الإنتاج رأس المال والأرض والعمل عن طريق تطبيق تقنيات الانحدار الذاتي الموجه (VAR). يعتقد أن هذه التقنيات تتغلب على مشكلة الانحدار الزائف وتعطي تقديرات متسقة ومتميزة للمدى الطويل والقصير والتي تفي بخصائص إجراء الانحدار الكلاسيكي. استنتجت الدراسة أن الأنفاق الحكومي على الزراعة ذو علاقة إيجابية بالنمو في إجمالي القيمة المضافة الزراعية. وأكدت تلك النتيجة على الدور المهم للإنفاق العام في زيادة نمو القطاع الزراعي في حالة الاقتصاد المصري. توصى الدراسة بزيادة الأنفاق الحكومي العام على قطاع الزراعة بما يقارب 10% من إجمالي الأنفاق العام، والارتقاء بمستويات الحوكمة بالقطاع الزراعي لضمان تطابق نتائج السياسات الزراعية مع المخطط له عند وضع السياسة.
|b There is no doubt that governments must have a role in strengthening economic sectors. The concept of the ruling state has been replaced by the welfare state where the government or state must protect and promote the well-being of the people. Spending on agriculture in developing countries is one of the most important ruling tools to promote economic growth and mitigate poverty in rural areas. It is therefore important to understand and analyze the impact of public expenditure and private investment on agricultural growth to assist policy makers and decision makers in a precise agricultural policy. The study concluded that all variables were nonstationary (with unit roots) at the level. After taking the first difference, Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test pointed to stationary variables. There were three shared integration equations in Johansen's test. VECM gives results for both short term and long term. At the same time, all insignificant variables were in the short term. In the long term, government spending on Agriculture (GE) has found a positive relationship with growth in agricultural value added. This result was emphasized on the important role of public spending in increasing the growth of the agricultural sector in the case of the Egyptian economy. Despite the direction of the government towards reducing government expenditure, this result is the possibility of achieving growth in agricultural sector more through enough public investment. The results referred to the important role played by PI investment in the agricultural sector. The increase in private investment increased by 1% to increase the growth of AVA agriculture at 0.138%, and this result came Consistent with what is known about the importance of private investments in promoting agricultural growth. However, it is noted that the rate of change in the growth rate of value added to the agricultural sector is weak. This may be the economic reform and privatization procedures, where the Government in Egypt encouraged the private sector to invest in agriculture by possessing vast areas with a view to increasing cultivated areas, and though Some investors have purchased these land at cheap prices and employment in other non-agriculture purposes they consider to be profitable for them such as the establishment of spa and luxury resorts. Officially, these investments went to agriculture and appeared in statistics, but in fact they benefited other sectors. Here it must emphasize the value of good governance and precise statistics to achieve the goal of proper policy and planning. Therefore, the government must work hard to improve the status of Governance to reach a good governance.
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|b The results indicated weak Labor productivity. This may be because of fragment tenure, and indicates that farmers are lacking modern technology in agricultural production, which is suitable for their small tenures and their vulnerable physical potential. The results emphasize the need for the agricultural sector. Recommendations: In the light of the results reached, the search recommended the following: - Increased public government spending on agriculture sector by approximately 10% of total public spending. - Commitment to spending in accordance with the principal budget as much as possible until it occurs matching with actual expenditure. - Work on modern agricultural technology suitable for small tenures and vulnerable physical potential for farmers, to raise agricultural production. - Up gradation of governance levels in the agricultural sector to ensure that the results of agricultural policies are matched with the plan when policy is developed.
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| 653 |
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|a السياسات الزراعية
|a الإنفاق العام
|a القطاع الزراعي
|a مصر
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| 692 |
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|a الإنفاق الحكومي
|a نمو القطاع الزراعي
|a السلاسل الزمنية
|b Government Spending
|b Agricultural Sector Growth
|b Time Series Stationary
|b Breusch Godfrey Serial Correlation LM
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| 700 |
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|a شعيب، نشوى محمد سمير محمد
|g Shoaib, Nashwa Mohamed Samir Mohamed
|e م. مشارك
|9 555092
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| 773 |
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|4 الاقتصاد
|6 Economics
|c 013
|e Egyptian Journal of Agricultural Economics
|f Al-Maǧallaẗ Al-Miṣriyyaẗ Lil-Iqtiṣād Al-Zirāʿī
|l 001
|m مج31, ع1
|o 2532
|s المجلة المصرية للإقتصاد الزراعي
|v 031
|x 1110-6832
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| 856 |
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|u 2532-031-001-013.pdf
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| 930 |
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|d y
|p y
|q n
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| 995 |
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|a EcoLink
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|c 1484249
|d 1484249
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