LEADER |
01655nam a22002417a 4500 |
001 |
2271576 |
024 |
|
|
|3 10.33704/1748-010-003-038
|
041 |
|
|
|a eng
|
044 |
|
|
|b الجزائر
|
100 |
|
|
|a Mezouaghi, Djilali
|e Author
|9 809651
|
245 |
|
|
|a Modeling Industrial Production of Pasteurized Milk in Algeria:
|b Insights from the Box-Jenkins
|
260 |
|
|
|b جامعة طاهري محمد، بشار - كلية العلوم الاقتصادية والعلوم التجارية وعلوم التسيير
|c 2024
|g ديسمبر
|
300 |
|
|
|a 610 - 628
|
336 |
|
|
|a بحوث ومقالات
|b Article
|
520 |
|
|
|b This study aims to estimate a model for forecasting the annual industrial production of pasteurized milk in Algeria using the Box-Jenkins methodology, applied to data from 1980 to 2022. The analysis concluded with the estimation of an Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model, specifically ARIMA (13, 1, 9), demonstrating reasonable accuracy with a MAPE of 21%. The model forecasts that the industrial production of pasteurized milk will increase to approximately 11,955,000 hectoliters by 2028.
|
653 |
|
|
|a الإنتاج الصناعي
|a الحليب المبستر
|a الجزائر
|
692 |
|
|
|b ARIMA
|b Box-Jenkins Methodology
|b Forecasting
|b Industrial Production
|b Pasteurized Milk
|
700 |
|
|
|9 790705
|a Lakehal, Mohamed
|e Co-Author
|
773 |
|
|
|4 الاقتصاد
|6 Economics
|c 038
|e A-Bashaer Economic Journal
|f Mağallaẗ al-bašā’ir al-iqtiṣādiyaẗ
|l 003
|m مج10, ع3
|o 1748
|s مجلة البشائر الاقتصادية
|v 010
|x 2437-0932
|
856 |
|
|
|u 1748-010-003-038.pdf
|
930 |
|
|
|d y
|p y
|q n
|
995 |
|
|
|a EcoLink
|
999 |
|
|
|c 1528504
|d 1528504
|