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تحليل الاتفاق النووي الإيراني وانعكاساته

العنوان بلغة أخرى: Iran Nuclear Deal and its Implications
المصدر: مجلة دراسات شرق أوسطية
الناشر: مركز دراسات الشرق الاوسط
المؤلف الرئيسي: الحمد، جواد (مؤلف)
المجلد/العدد: مج19, ع73
محكمة: نعم
الدولة: الأردن
التاريخ الميلادي: 2015
الشهر: خريف
الصفحات: 131 - 137
DOI: 10.12816/0017509
ISSN: 1811-8208
رقم MD: 683590
نوع المحتوى: بحوث ومقالات
اللغة: العربية
قواعد المعلومات: EcoLink, HumanIndex
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عدد مرات التحميل

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المستخلص: The agreement between Tehran the international powers over the nuclear file, signed in Vienna on July 14, 2015, constitutes a quantum leap in the Iranian-Western relations, according to the seven signatories. The parties expressed their aspiration for major shifts in the region’s security and stability after the treaty. The step is widely considered to be distinguished and can change the rules of the game with regard to the influence in the region. However, observers argue that Tehran has placed the its nuclear programme under the international will. Therefore, it cannot produce nuclear weapons for at least 25 years to come. Upon reviewing the articles and annexes, the details show that both parties were competent negotiators in maintaining their gains. Each made many of them and restricted the other in certain fields. The report also analyzes the content and dimensions of the accord in light of current political realities, discussing the Western and Iranian views. The former believes it hampered Tehran’s aspirations by setting the level of enrichment at 3.67% for 15 years, preventing the possession of a nuclear bomb. On the other hand, the latter secured a treatment as any state by the international community. It also saw the uranium enrichment on its soil a major Western concession. Furthermore, the report discusses the main impacts on regional security as well as political, economic and military fields. In conclusion, in spite of the advantages of the agreement to Iran, it stopped the uranium enrichment for consecutive 10 years and put it under continuous censorship for over 20 years. Therefore, the Arab countries shall not be feel any serious threat if they follow a strategy of containment and confrontation with the repercussions. An Arab alliance network shall be re-made on the basis of national and regional reconciliations leading to unified attitudes and policies against the Iranian influence, expansion and hegemony. The Gulf Cooperation Council countries, in particular, have to take strong stands in this direction. If a coherent attitude and powerful, straightforward policies are taken, the effect on the Arabs’ role and their regional and international weight will be minimized.

ISSN: 1811-8208

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