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The study aims at analyzing the trends and patterns of consumption of primary energy sources in OAPEC members and highlights the main factors affecting the consumption. It also aims to estimate the future consumption of primary energy sources until 2040 by constructing economic models suitable to the energy situation in the member countries on one hand, and to the quality of available data on the other. For this purpose, the study is divided into two main parts. The first part provides a brief overview of the main features of the development of primary energy consumption and its growth rates in member countries, and illustrates the evolution of the primary energy mix and the intensity of primary energy consumption in OAPEC members. The second part deals with the future energy consumption in the member countries until 2040. The consumption function of the primary sources of energy has been estimated on a systematic basis in accordance with the energy conditions of each member country and with the quality of the available data. Five scenarios have been adopted to predict future prospects for the consumption of primary energy sources in member countries. The first one is the reference scenario, the second one is the high growth scenario, the third one is the low growth scenario and the fourth one is high domestic fuel prices scenario, and the last scenario takes in account the increasing use of renewable and nuclear energy in OAPEC member countries. One of the main findings of the study is that moving ahead with the option of exploiting the available renewable energy resources in OAPEC member countries will inevitably lead to achieving the national objectives of securing and diversifying the energy sources and releasing big quantities of Oil and gas for export, and will lead to radical changes in the future prospects of the energy mix.
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