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صفقة القرن: التحديات والفرص واحتمالات المستقبل

العنوان بلغة أخرى: Deal of the Century: Challenges Opportunities and Scenarios
المصدر: مجلة دراسات شرق أوسطية
الناشر: مركز دراسات الشرق الاوسط
المؤلف الرئيسي: الحمد، جواد (مؤلف)
المؤلف الرئيسي (الإنجليزية): Al-Hamad, Jawad
المجلد/العدد: مج24, ع91
محكمة: نعم
الدولة: الأردن
التاريخ الميلادي: 2020
الشهر: ربيع
الصفحات: 107 - 114
DOI: 10.47084/0836-024-091-006
ISSN: 1811-8208
رقم MD: 1037242
نوع المحتوى: بحوث ومقالات
اللغة: العربية
قواعد المعلومات: EcoLink, HumanIndex
مواضيع:
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041 |a ara 
044 |b الأردن 
100 |a الحمد، جواد  |g Al-Hamad, Jawad  |e مؤلف  |9 98712 
245 |a صفقة القرن:  |b التحديات والفرص واحتمالات المستقبل 
246 |a Deal of the Century:  |b Challenges Opportunities and Scenarios 
260 |b مركز دراسات الشرق الاوسط  |c 2020  |g ربيع 
300 |a 107 - 114 
336 |a بحوث ومقالات  |b Article 
520 |b Attended by Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu, US President announced in the White House his plan for a „fair’ peace. He included the following items: ending the Palestinian refugees issue with no return and no clear compensation; ending the Jerusalem issue to be completely Jewish and the undivided capital of Israel; approving the temporal and special division of Al-Aqsa Mosque and allowing prayer for all faiths; endorsing the Jewish nature of the State of Israel to be inclusive for Jews; terminating the project of the Palestinian statehood with all its titles, which means terminating the right of self-determination; turning the Palestinian West Bank territories, which is called the Future State into separate cantons with self-rule under full Israeli control; and Israeli inclusive annexation of all the Jewish settlements in the West Bank. In return, the plan is faced by several major challenges in different aspects and at different levels. The most important is the Palestinian public and official rejection, which can prevent it and isolate any Palestinian who would accept to take part. Others are related to the increasing criticism among the Europeans, Africans, Arabs and Muslims, even among the US friends and allies, along with the possibility of Donald Trump’s failure in the US elections 2020. However, there are some chances for the scheme. One of them is Israel’s readiness to implement it under Netanyahu’s or the following government and bear the consequences. Another is the US capability to intervene in the Palestinian political system, by counting on geo-strategic wealthy Arab states to exert pressure when necessary. A third one is the US veto in the Security Council to thwart any Arab or Palestinian proposal against the plan. In light of the plan components, the future lies between a number of scenarios. The first is the modification of the scheme. The second is the launch of bilateral political negotiations with the plan as a reference. However, the above two are not very likely. The fourth is turning only into a „means’ to serve Netanyahu’s and Trump’s election agendas. The third is Trump’s success in encouraging the Israelis to carry out the plan unilaterally, which is depends on the international community’s facilitation to pass it, as was the case with the declaration of Jerusalem as the capital of Israel. 
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