What beyond Massification? Forecasting the Future of Enrollment in Algerian: Higher Education Using ARIMA Approach
| المصدر: | مجلة أبحاث ودراسات التنمية |
|---|---|
| الناشر: | جامعة محمد البشير الإبراهيمي برج بوعريريج - كلية العلوم الاقتصادية والتجارية وعلوم التسيير - مخبر الدراسات والبحوث في التنمية الريفية |
| المؤلف الرئيسي: | Bouabdallah, Salah (Author) |
| المجلد/العدد: | مج10, ع1 |
| محكمة: | نعم |
| الدولة: |
الجزائر |
| التاريخ الميلادي: |
2023
|
| الشهر: | جوان |
| الصفحات: | 557 - 571 |
| ISSN: |
2392-5469 |
| رقم MD: | 1393753 |
| نوع المحتوى: | بحوث ومقالات |
| اللغة: | الإنجليزية |
| قواعد المعلومات: | EcoLink |
| مواضيع: | |
| كلمات المؤلف المفتاحية: |
ARIMA Models | Forecasting Using Time Series | Tertiary Student Enrollments | Massification in Higher Education
|
| رابط المحتوى: |
عدد مرات التحميل
1
| LEADER | 02226nam a22002177a 4500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | 2144010 | ||
| 041 | |a eng | ||
| 044 | |b الجزائر | ||
| 100 | |9 737303 |a Bouabdallah, Salah |e Author | ||
| 245 | |a What beyond Massification? Forecasting the Future of Enrollment in Algerian: |b Higher Education Using ARIMA Approach | ||
| 260 | |b جامعة محمد البشير الإبراهيمي برج بوعريريج - كلية العلوم الاقتصادية والتجارية وعلوم التسيير - مخبر الدراسات والبحوث في التنمية الريفية |c 2023 |g جوان | ||
| 300 | |a 557 - 571 | ||
| 336 | |a بحوث ومقالات |b Article | ||
| 520 | |b The demand for higher education in Algeria is expanding rapidly, and accurate forecasting methods are necessary for planning its future. This paper aims to investigate whether data on the student population in higher education can be adjusted to Auto Regressive Integrated Model (ARIMA) for forecasting the future trend until 2030. The author compares three ARIMA models in terms of their fit indices and analysis of residuals. The process of estimation and model selection is conducted using the 'auto.arima' function from the ‘fpp2’ package in the statistical software, 'R'. The data consists of the annual recorded population of students from 1963 to 2022, obtained from relevant national and international bodies. The results show a continuous upward demand for higher education in the upcoming years, slightly exceeding two million in 2030. This finding has direct implications on planning the resources to be deployed for the higher education sector on a national level. | ||
| 653 | |a التعليم العالي |a علوم التكنولوجيا |a جودة الخدمات |a مهارات التعليم |a التعليم والتعلم | ||
| 692 | |b ARIMA Models |b Forecasting Using Time Series |b Tertiary Student Enrollments |b Massification in Higher Education | ||
| 773 | |4 الاقتصاد |6 Economics |c 031 |e Journal of Researches and Studies in Development |l 001 |m مج10, ع1 |o 2184 |s مجلة أبحاث ودراسات التنمية |v 010 |x 2392-5469 | ||
| 856 | |u 2184-010-001-031.pdf | ||
| 930 | |d y |p y |q n | ||
| 995 | |a EcoLink | ||
| 999 | |c 1393753 |d 1393753 | ||
عناصر مشابهة
-
Mediating Role of E-Satisfaction between Higher Education Institution’s Online Marketing and Students’ Enrollment Decision
بواسطة: Taha, Amna Mohamed Mahmoud منشور: (2023) -
Integrating Quality Assurance in the Algerian Higher Education
بواسطة: Saadi, Keltoum منشور: (2019) -
Quality System in Higher Education: Future Perspectives
بواسطة: العلي، عبدالستار محمد منشور: (2021) -
Breaking Barriers: Challenges of Integrating Content and Language in Algerian Higher Education
بواسطة: Tihal, Wafia منشور: (2023) -
The Significance of Digitization Projects in the Algerian Higher Education Sector for Enhancing Educational Quality
بواسطة: Brada, Abderrezzaq منشور: (2024)
