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الرئيسية > Kuwait's Macroeonomic Performa...>الوصف

Kuwait's Macroeonomic Performance In The Global Context

المصدر: المجلة العربية للعلوم الإدارية
الناشر: جامعة الكويت - مجلس النشر العلمي
المؤلف الرئيسي: Alawadhi, Ahmed Sh (Author)
مؤلفين آخرين: Mohaddes, Kamiar (Co-Author) , Alkhayat, Ahmed (Co-Author) , Burney, Nadeem A. (Co-Author)
المجلد/العدد: مج25, ع1
محكمة: نعم
الدولة: الكويت
التاريخ الميلادي: 2018
الشهر: يناير
الصفحات: 93 - 120
DOI: 10.34120/0430-025-001-004
ISSN: 1029-855X
رقم MD: 871369
نوع المحتوى: بحوث ومقالات
اللغة: الإنجليزية
قواعد المعلومات: EcoLink
مواضيع:
السياسة الإقتصادية | التنمية الإقتصادية | النمو الإقتصادي | الإقتصاد الكلي | الدراسات الإقتصادية | الكويت | المجتمع الكويتي | مستخلصات الأبحاث
كلمات المؤلف المفتاحية:
Kuwait | Global Vector Auto Regressive (GVAR) | Spillover Effects | Equity Market | Growth | Oil Price
رابط المحتوى:
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المستخلص: The ups and downs of Kuwait’s economy since the 1970s are often viewed as driven by two main factors: domestic shocks and oil price shocks. While these two factors have been visibly important in shaping economic fluctuations and growth in Kuwait, their effects have been conditioned by and combined with influences from other domestic and global factors. In particular, GDP growth, inflation, interest rates, and equity prices in the rest of the world are likely to have direct or indirect impacts on Kuwait's economy, though little is known about the significance of such effects. Assessing the role of various factors on the Kuwait’s macroeconomic process is important for understanding the trends and fluctuations in the economy and for forecasting and policy analysis. To this end we use a Global VAR (GVAR) model framework to disentangle the size and speed of the transmission of different global macroeconomic shocks originating from three systemic countries (China, Euro Area, and the US) to Kuwait, as well as looking at the implications of shocks to both global equity and oil markets for the Kuwaiti economy. Our approach uses a dynamic multi¬country framework for the analysis of the international transmission. The framework comprises 28 country/region- specific models, These individual models are solved in a global setting where core macroeconomic variables of each economy are related to corresponding foreign variables. The model has both real and financial variables. This framework is able to account for various transmission channels, including not only trade relationships but also financial and commodity price linkages.
ISSN: 1029-855X

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